> An important aspect of comparison is that nobody is going to tell you that your surgery is noticeable or looks bad.
Just post a picture on the internet and let strangers comment. You will absolutely get honest feedback, but you probably don’t really want that. TBH same with code and ideas, given the reception my articles have had over the years on HN and Reddit. Can be brutal.
You are confusing low cost with low competence. Some developers in India and Brazil cost a fourth of an American one but may be just as competent. Yes, the average is lower because of the lower barrier to entry and differences in cultural practices, but you really should separate cost and competency. You can hire some grifter who is quite expensive compared to a super developer from India just because they live in California.
Ive been doing this for a while, and seen many people try; the success ratio is so low that I consider it a fools errand.
There are many reasons why; but simply there is no surplus of super developers anywhere; you might find one anywhere, but they will not stay low cost for very long... And if you try to structure your business to find any number of employees overseas you quickly become overwhelmed by the averages and cultural practices of an area.
I fully believe its possible to find a single competent Brazilian or Indian for cheaper than in the west, but I dont think its possible to structure a company in a way that you can hire 20.
As someone who really hopes developers get much more productive in our team, I would hope we are able to finally keep pace with the desired roadmap and fix bugs at a much faster rate so customers don’t have to wait too long for things to get fixed. Currently, we always get late and the roadmap has to be changed to remove less important things so we focus on fewer things. Which is not ideal, we are definitely losing business when we drop items, and we know that since potential customers keep running into use cases we knew would be useful but never managed to get to.
The Swedish government is very pro renewables, yet it is initiating large investments in nuclear because they believe it is the only way to ensure enough electricity for the larger and larger need for it in the near future. I’d say they have some good information to base that decision on, since you’re right it’s really expensive, but also it’s the only way to get large amounts of production when the sun ain’t shining (all winter here) and there’s no wind (also happens a lot in the colder months).
Right, a mix of uncorrelated sources is much more resilient than 100% renewables. Of the cleantech industry people I listen to, none of them are advocating for 100% renewables, you need a mix for grid reliability. But renewables can take on much of the load. And overpaneling can help significantly, and makes a lot more sense now that solar is super cheap.
They gave a widely accepted way to estimate value, and your counter argument is that that is inaccurate. Fine but how can you be confident about that? I see only one way which is for you to come up with a better way and then show that by your better estimation, COCOMO is bad. Until you do that, all your argument goes down to is vibes.
Your example about OpenClaw works exactly against your own argument by the way: OpenAI acquired it for millions by all accounts.
COCOMO has been shown to be inaccurate numerous times. Google it. Here’s one result.
“A very high MMRE (1.00) indicates that, on average, the COCOMO model misses about 100% of the actual project
effort. This means that the estimate generated by the model can be double or even greater than the actual effort. This
shows that the COCOMO model is not able to provide estimates that are close to the actual value.”
No one in the industry has taken COCOMO seriously for nearly 2 decades.
>OpenClaw
1. OpenAI bought the vibes and the creator. Why would they buy the code? It’s open source.
2. You don’t seriously think OpenClaw needs half a million lines of code to provide the functionality it does do you?
Seriously just go look at the code. No one is defending that as being an efficient use of code.
> No one in the industry has taken COCOMO seriously for nearly 2 decades.
The funny thing is that we've just discussed how people do take it seriously. It's just that you don't like that. And what do you offer as an alternative?
Like I said, vibes. You think that the value of some software is something you can only "feel". That's not how an engineer thinks. If you're engineer you should know that if you can't measure it, you can't say anything at all about it. Which means you cannot discount any alternative method until you've got a better way. But clearly you can't think like an engineer.
I don’t know what to tell you. All the evidence says COCOMO is too inaccurate to use. Show me evidence that says it’s accurate.
Just because someone wrote a book and a few bankruptcy trustees used it doesn’t magically make it accurate. Just because something is systematic doesn’t mean it’s worth using.
If you do a bit of googling you’ll find that the majority of studies show that systemic models don’t outperform expert guesses. So yep vibes are general just as good.
Show me a large tech company that currently uses COCOMO to plan software projects.
Also if you are a dev outside of NASA or another safety critical industry and you think you’re an engineer, you’re kidding yourself.
Oh and try not to sound like an asshole next time.
Many people also take tarot card reading seriously as a way to predict the future.
As an engineer, you are not required to come up with a better way of predicting the future before you can dismiss tarot. You need only show that it doesn't work.
You seem to be spreading propaganda yourself by accusing Opera of something I have not seen evidence of. Are you saying this just because the company is Chinese?
Thanks, that's pretty damning, in particular sending every visited domain to the browser vendor under the guise of "safe browsing". Really sad to see a former world-class browser stooping so low.
And I really couldn't care less if the browser vendor or their servers are in the US, China, or even any supposed "data privacy haven". It's simply none of their business which websites I visit.
For the same reason I'm not using Chrome, which intentionally kneecaps browser history sync when sync encryption is enabled, effectively forcing users to choose between non-synced history and privacy, when e.g. Firefox manages to do encrypted sync just fine.
> For the same reason I'm not using Chrome, which intentionally kneecaps browser history sync when sync encryption is enabled, effectively forcing users to choose between non-synced history and privacy, when e.g. Firefox manages to do encrypted sync just fine.
This is novel to me - what's the kneecap specifically? How do you only kinda sync browser history??
Chrome only syncs "typed URL" (i.e. everything you enter in the address bar/"omnibox") website visits when your profile is encrypted, as far as I remember. "True" history sync is somehow tied to Google's generic "activity sync", which only exists unencrypted.
For me, this completely defeats the point of having history sync in the first place, so this particular change was what made me switch browsers several years ago.
The whole point of that noise is to put NATO + Japanese military in the Straits of Hormuz so that Israel and the US can continue to attack Iran with impunity. Any effort by Iran to shut the Straits in response to further attacks will hit some "innocent" party and drag them into the conflict.
It's basically bait for WW3, and luckily so far the EU particularly are not biting.
When was the last time the NATO navy do anything anyway? They’d just be sitting ducks and probably not even know which directions to point what pointless weapons they have.
The underlying reason is too many people will readily believe that if someone died for something it means it's worth fighting for, and this has been abused by strategists for a very long time.
Your theory is easily disproven by looking at other countries with far more volatile economies than the USA. They almost always have much higher fertility rates no matter how bad their economies are. But don’t feel bad: every single theory people have come up to explain decreasing fertility rates in nearly every country on the planet can be shown to not match reality one way or another. Whoever comes up with an explanation that matches reality is going to get a Nobel Prize.
You must never rely on AI itself for authorization… don’t let it run on an environment where it can do that. I can’t believe this needs to be said but everyone seems to have lost their mind and decided to give all their permissions away to a non deterministic thing that when prompted correctly will send it all out to whoever asks it nicely.
Just post a picture on the internet and let strangers comment. You will absolutely get honest feedback, but you probably don’t really want that. TBH same with code and ideas, given the reception my articles have had over the years on HN and Reddit. Can be brutal.
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