No, but that doesn't stop them from pushing vibe coded software at meetings and demanding it be put into production or otherwise regurgitating verbatim what their agents tell them.
Sometimes there is joy in discovering things for yourself. Also, the oracle currently relies on humans publishing new information, what will you do when the incentive is gone and the oracle has nothing to harvest?
> Sometimes there is joy in discovering things for yourself.
Agreed. And webrings still exist in certain corners of the internet.
> the oracle currently relies on humans publishing new information
New? When I ask it how to do something with a piece of software it's perfectly capable of answering me by means of direct interrogation of the source code.
I'll grant you that it owes ~all of its knowledge of the world at large to having been bootstrapped using the more or less complete body of humanity's published works. However I think that was merely the quickest path to bootstrap it as opposed to the only one.
Regarding the article's example of "tanking" in NBA games in the opening paragraph, what would solve this is a switch from the franchise system to a promotion/relegation system. No team would bench their best players or throw a game when relegation to a lower division is on the line.
> The jump in capabilities in the last 6 months has been substantial.
What I would like to see is a chart graphing the model size against some objective measure of capabilities, specifically for coding.
It's easy to see gains when you're doubling the effort. What I want to know is if the extra effort is opening up more capabilities over time or fewer capabilities over time.
I have literally been hearing that, over and over and over, since '22.
And whilst it is obvious things are growing... Saying that, sounds almost entirely like the person saying it cannot objectively look at the environment. If everything has changed in the last six months, why has the industry not radically changed to match it?
Everything really did change with the Pentium II. It did with 3dfx. It did with Damerau's taken on Levenshtein. Hell, everything changed with React. The AI leap with seq2seq completely revolutionised the entire industry. But... Its kid, the LLM? Really?
That only works if viable alternatives exist, the moats aren’t too large and users have the freedom to switch. For example, Reddit was a viable alternative to Digg at the time, Facebook was a viable alternative to MySpace. Enterprise software has some truly grotesque UI but the user doesn’t have the freedom to switch and the moats are enormous.
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