A lot of the design changes over the last decade seem largely Jobs-ian marketing driven. The round corners and friendly surfaces were useful in bringing the mass market into computing. Now that computer use is ubiquitous, it will be interesting to see if we start migrating back to the way the original programmers envisioned things like always-visible scrollbars and obvious click targets.

We've spent billions. Are UIs a lot better off than Windows 3.1?

The data does not say that 53% have a conviction or charge. It says that 27% do.

The 26% you miscategorized are people with pending charges. Everyone is innocent until proven guilty.

What you’re saying makes no sense. Unless I'm misunderstanding it (and I am in fact a lawyer), the data indicates that 53% of the people have either been convicted of or charged with a crime.

Yes, people who are charged are innocent until proven guilty. Nobody is implying any of those charged people are guilty.

Fifty-three is a high percentage of any population to face criminal charges, innocent or guilty. That’s it.

What do you think is the delta between "charged" and "pending charge"?

What do you think the delta is between "general population", "pending charge", "charged", and "convicted" - while we're at it?

You can make a vast majority of the population "pending charge" at some point if you take into consideration they were - at one point - marked "pending bench warrant" during the time between getting a traffic ticket and (A) paying it; or (B) fighting it.

Let's see how far we can skew the datasets, with enough motivation. And the "benefit of the doubt" that you'd reflexively give someone on not stretching the truth simply CANNOT be afforded to these people.

No this isn’t correct. A bench warrant is not a charge. Neither is an arrest warrant, but in any event most traffic violations will be civil and not criminal matters.

>"A bench warrant is not a charge. Neither is an arrest warrant,"

Re-read my comment. I never said they were.

> You can make a vast majority of the population "pending charge" at some point if you take into consideration they were - at one point - marked "pending bench warrant" during the time between getting a traffic ticket and (A) paying it; or (B) fighting it.

This statement is incorrect. A "charge" means charged with a crime. You cannot make anyone "pending charge" if you issue them a bench warrant. Nor an arrest warrant.

Charging someone is a different procedure.

My friends and I all cut our teeth on https://last-outpost.com 30 years ago now. It’s crazy how reliable such an old game is. I was an absolute slacker in school, but had an inexplicably high reading level which I attribute to “LO” and Magic: the Gathering. My 7-year old son really got a kick out of playing it, and it’s a great way to teach reading comprehension to young ones.

Yes if the market is for rice, but illiquid assets are an entirely different market which can be crazy warped by a few important participants.

How so, could you explain that a bit? I could see them causing a price dip or spike in purchase prices if they bought or sold all at the same time, but that would affect their own prices that they pay or receive, right? What is the market manipulation with 4% of housing stock?

Houses are unique and have irreducible transaction costs which makes the market for them very inefficient and slow relative to a commodity. For one example, if you are in the market for a 3-bedroom house with a garage, the market is already segmented much more narrowly than can be the case in an efficient market like that for a commodity. If you have to move into one as soon as possible for a new job, and you know closing will take a minimum of 3 months, the market for your prospective houses is going to be extremely small without even factoring in other distinctive characteristics like driving distance and schools. 4% of the aggregate market may represent 25-30% of your “market” nonetheless.

Thanks for that! I guess I don't see how there could be market manipulation without also damaging the manipulator, especially in a market that is as transparent as housing, with nearly every sale being at a public price.

Rental manipulation is much much easier, and probably more prevalent. But unfortunately the price-gouging lawsuits from using software to share pricing information have been settled with the landlords paying peanuts.

I'm not sure deliberate manipulation per se, but the market would be warped by a single participant that owned 4% of the aggregate market. This is especially true if that participant didn't adhere to the normal holding periods and purchasing rationale as the remainder of the market participants. Consider that market manipulation concerns are (some of) the reasons significant holders (>= 5%) of even extremely liquid public companies are required to publicly report ownership and ownership changes.

Maybe if they keep buying the houses in the top school district of the entire city. Which I've never heard of anyone doing.

Maybe easier to just form a realtor cartel?

This assumes that the entire market is for sale at a given time, which is not true. If you have 3 kids and two parents who need to drive to work, there may be only a single digit number of viable houses for sale at a given time in your school district.

Read the article.

What happened is exactly what it suggests. OneDrive migration doesn't just copy your files to a server. While the migration is occurring, the operating system is optimistically re-mapping them all to a cloud URL and/or deleting them entirely.

Halting the migration and disabling "backup" returned the mapping back to the local disk, and I was able to open the file as normal.

I know, it's as crazy as it sounds and your bet was my bet at first as well.

This being Microsoft, the null hypothesis is "user error induced by intentionally evil UX".

For decades, the unofficial Microshit motto has been: Intel inside, Idiot outside.

Because Microsoft treated users as if they were idiots.

So basically tons of Windows related websites teach this infallible little trick as solution when a user gets a Windows BSOD (Blue Screen of Death): Reboot!

Invariably, the reboot causes the Windows OS to start working again, till the recurrence of whatever circumstances (typically, hardware and/or software conflicts) caused the BSOD in the first place. It is left to the user to figure out what went wrong and how to prevent the issue from recurring again, as the BSOD messages are typically cryptic for the average user to decipher (maybe not so difficult in the modern era of AI assistants invocable from a handheld smartphone).

In fact, I would say the whole IT industry grew tremendously over the last few decades, because Microsoft's products were powerful, user friendly (to an extent, and until they worked), but quite complex to maintain (the dreaded Windows updates nightmares) and troubleshoot in case of issues. That's because every company using M$ products needed dedicated IT Support teams solely for such maintenance, help and fixes for M$ products. Even other vendors like Oracle grew as competition to Microsoft's corporate dominance.

The wonderful (and sometimes terrifying) world of antimalware software may not even have existed were it not for Microsoft products.

Indeed. Up until the user-hostile turn of Windows 10 and 11.

Any reason not to link to the repo in question?

I'm just one data point. Me being unimpressed should not be used to judge their entire work. I feel like I have a pretty decent understanding of a few small corners of what they're doing, and find it a bad omen that they've brushed aside some of my concerns. But I'm definitely not knowledgeable enough about the rest of it all.

What concerns me is, generally, if the experts (and I do consider them experts) can use frontier AI to look very productive, but upon close inspection of something you (in this case I) happen to be knowledgeable about, it's not that great (built on shaky foundations), what about all the vibe coded stuff built by non-experts?

On the contrary, it helps underscore a storm's significance and allow for memetic spreading of information around the storm. You obviously didn't grow up in a hurricane-prone area.

Likewise, we've always liked to "name things". My personal desktop is named "Foundation" (first built PC) and my car is named "Big Boi" (first adult purchase). Generic names are fine for operational equipment, but no one wants to refer to natural disasters as "HURR-2026-EC02". That's why COVID is "COVID" instead of "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2".

I read the whole article for some big reveal about how I had missed the point, but, yeah, it was all clear even in high school.

> no interest in nuclear weapons

Is that satire or am I confused? Do we actually think any sovereign nation in the world has “no interest in nuclear weapons”?

I mean…pretty sure greenland was cool with it up until a year ago now…

It’s surprising how hard it is for some people to understand this. Yes oil blah blah. A few billion bucks, but the much bigger picture is (at least in this theory) Venezuela gets a democracy and the U.S. gets a stable strategic partner in an important part of its back yard. I’m not evaluating it yet, but there is definitely a bull case for this move on the geopolitical level.

> Venezuela gets a democracy and the U.S. gets a stable strategic partner in an important part of its back yard.

They wishes are, at best, one possible outcome from a long list of possible outcomes.