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Before you can talk about "exponentially improve" you first have to define what kind of scale you want to use.



Given the talk about scales, Was expecting this one: https://xkcd.com/271/


It will be twice as fast for the same budget in about two years, maybe less. That'll allow it to better analyse outcomes.

And it will continue improving at about the same rate for the next few years, at least.

In the long term, meatware has no chance against it.


This is assuming the limitation is mostly processing power.

From what I've read, more processing power would allow the AI to calculate possible outcomes for each move further into the future but that does not mean the AI's overall success rate will go up at the same rate.




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