first off, where do you get the 99% effective statistic? I'm genuinely curious, because I cannot think of a reason why the simple addition test is effective at all; i am still as baffled as ever.
as for hired spammers, i don't see a protection against that, nor do i challenge your argument about it, but the subject is CAPTCHAs. CAPTCHAs are turing tests; they tell computers from humans, not humans from humans. the difference is that botnets take very little money to run, once the software is mature. hiring takes money, and that in itself is a barrier. i don't know the true costs of running botnets vs hiring commenters; perhaps as you said, hiring is more cost-efficient, but it seems almost trivially easy to defeat the "2 + 3" mechanism, so trivial, that i would assume it to cost significantly less to defeat than hiring somebody even at 6 dollars per hour.
if the hired commenters post "intelligent" content, well then, it is, by definition, intelligent content. if "intelligent" only means "coherent" and "somewhat related to the topic of discussion," fine, it can be spam, but it still fits two criteria: 1. a human posted it, 2. it required mental effort to create. a legitimate user who is a maniac wouldn't fare any better. as such, i would believe that a hired commenter who posts "intelligent content" is as at least as intelligent as a nonhired user who posts "unintelligent content."
The 99% effective statistic came from the author of codinghorror.com. His CAPTCHA for every comment is a single static image of the word "ORANGE" in a slightly stylized but plainly readable font. I've seen other bloggers claim that simple addition puzzles are almost 100% effective as well (at least, they were when they were introduced).
I think that spammers simply don't want to create a special case handling of every site they come across.
I think in less than 5 years, a botnet will be able to participate in discussions in a way that is nearly indistinguishable from humans. If a robot posts better-than-average commentary, do you care if it is a real human or not?
Interesting. Perhaps spammers are just lazy -- if they aren't following the latest captcha techniques. I still find those examples incredible, but as long as they work, happy.
And to answer your question, no. When you play chess with a strong computer, or a living grandmaster, both are formidable opponents playing the same game. Talking to an educated person and a strong AI capable computer would be participating in the same discussion. (I don't know if this is objectionable but it makes perfect sense to me; if you see otherwise, do explain.)
However, if and when that happens, the world is going down a wildly different path, and that problem you point out will be a minor one, compared to some dramatic job cuts it will likely bring about and the businesses that it wipes out.
as for hired spammers, i don't see a protection against that, nor do i challenge your argument about it, but the subject is CAPTCHAs. CAPTCHAs are turing tests; they tell computers from humans, not humans from humans. the difference is that botnets take very little money to run, once the software is mature. hiring takes money, and that in itself is a barrier. i don't know the true costs of running botnets vs hiring commenters; perhaps as you said, hiring is more cost-efficient, but it seems almost trivially easy to defeat the "2 + 3" mechanism, so trivial, that i would assume it to cost significantly less to defeat than hiring somebody even at 6 dollars per hour.
if the hired commenters post "intelligent" content, well then, it is, by definition, intelligent content. if "intelligent" only means "coherent" and "somewhat related to the topic of discussion," fine, it can be spam, but it still fits two criteria: 1. a human posted it, 2. it required mental effort to create. a legitimate user who is a maniac wouldn't fare any better. as such, i would believe that a hired commenter who posts "intelligent content" is as at least as intelligent as a nonhired user who posts "unintelligent content."