> while big bets bring both big gains and big losses.
it's actually an asymmetric. The losses a capped - you cannot lose more than you own, and you cannot lose more than the time you put in (which is, of course, something you're going to lose by living any way). Technically, you also lose the "risk free reward" in opportunity cost - e.g., a minimum wage job.
The gains, however, are unlimited. For both yourself, and for society. So i think it's in the interest of society to make many of these "big bets".
There's always more to lose than just what you own. There's who you are, there's relationships with family & friends, there's time, there's opportunities. All should be put on the scale & weighed against the risks.
Why would you lose who you are if you merely lost on a big bet (say, as an entrepreneur?)
> there's relationships with family & friends
I think you may be reading too much - you imply that a big bet will always mean sacrificing your friends and family, but i do not believe that to be the case, and in fact, friends and family are what helps you succeed, and including them in your bet is more likely to help.
> there's time, there's opportunities
you are _always_ using up your time, regardless of whether you're using it in a big bet, or merely lazying around. As for opportunities - yes you lose in opportunity cost, but you cannot for sure say anything about what is lost, other than a sure-fire, 100% successful opportunity that you declined. If there's two startups, and you chose one, the other is _not_ the opportunity cost (because both has the same opportunity cost - that of a stable wage job working for a stable, zero risk company).
1) It's not just about making a big financial bet. No one is the same person they were 10 years earlier. The decisions we make along the way change us. You decide to make a big bet, that means you face a whole bunch of different decisions as a result, and then those lead to more, all of which change & become who you are. Many times it's fine, but when it's not, that is something lost beyond money. Do you think no one has ever failed in business and not had an awful impact on them? Some people emerge more determined, some people end up broken.
2) Success changes people. Failure changes people. It also changes how other people look at you. It's not uncommon for people who achieve a certain level of success to make a break with their former lives in some way. Even before success or failure, simply making a big bet then requires a certain amount of focus & drive that can make it difficult, unless you are very careful (and many people are not) to keep your same relationships, to not allow friendships & family connections to lapse. Or let's use something more concrete: many people finance their big bet through family & friends, asking them to make a bet as well. Failure in those cases can be very difficult.
3) You seem to agree with me here: time is always lost, always lost beyond any monetary gain or loss. And it's not just the time lost on the project: Starting from zero means time spent working your way back up. (Perhaps tapping those family & friends for more resources: see above) You only have time for a very small number of big bets. Doing that casually because you believe the potential downside is capped at money is... an incomplete understanding of the risks. If you choose the "big bet" path, it will likely define your life, and what you do day in & day out. And what life is defined purely in monetary terms? None.
So take those risks, all decisions are risks. But consider the costs as well. It's always more than just money.
Why would you lose who you are if you merely lost on a big bet (say, as an entrepreneur?)
I think you may be reading too much - you imply that a big bet will always mean sacrificing your friends and family, but i do not believe that to be the case
Typically “your health” is not considered part of what “you own”, but more often than not is very much on the line during big bets. Not for everyone, and not for every bet, but the loss of it can have an extraordinarily disproportionate time-multiplied impact far beyond losing what “you own”.
> The losses a capped - you cannot lose more than you own
Those who faced personal bankruptcies in 2007-2008 and were stuck with mortgages that were worth far more than their home values might not agree with you.
I should have clarified - of course you can be _sued_ for any amount. I meant that you cannot be forced to repay more than what you own - you bankrupt your way out of it, or accept a settlement.
The only debt you cannot discharge via bankruptcy is student loan debt, iirc.
it's actually an asymmetric. The losses a capped - you cannot lose more than you own, and you cannot lose more than the time you put in (which is, of course, something you're going to lose by living any way). Technically, you also lose the "risk free reward" in opportunity cost - e.g., a minimum wage job.
The gains, however, are unlimited. For both yourself, and for society. So i think it's in the interest of society to make many of these "big bets".