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I'm trying to split SMB into two categories.

Lifestyle small businesses are great too, but I'm really talking about companies with $10M+ revenue potential.

You can get top-tier VC returns by building a portfolio of Mittelstand businesses ($10M-$1B in revenue).



> I'm trying to split SMB into two categories.

The fact that SMB is literally two categories (Small and Medium Business) but effectively one category is a great way to capture the frustration here.


> top-tier VC returns by building a portfolio of Mittelstand businesses

I’m not sure this is true. You could get good relative percentage returns, but in terms of absolute returns, I’m not sure the math is there. Meaning, if you invest $1M in a smaller company and get a 20X return, that’s pretty good. But smaller companies won’t have much more need for investment capital. So, your absolute return is limited to $20M.

Now, if you have a larger company that needs $100M in investments (over multiple rounds), but still gets a 20X return, that’s a $2B return.

You have the same relative rate, but a massive difference in absolute numbers. To get the same absolute return, you’d need 100X more companies in a portfolio, which is just not manageable. Even with a 2X return in a $100M investment, you’re still way ahead in absolute terms. ($100M >> $19M)

What I think you’re really trying to argue for is that there needs to be smaller VC portfolios with smaller expectations. I think this is possible, but it’s more difficult to hedge bets with smaller expected returns.


Hey, I'm the co-founder of TinySeed (and also a YC alumn), would be happy to connect: einar@tinyseed.com


> You can get top-tier VC returns by building a portfolio of Mittelstand businesses ($10M-$1B in revenue).

Constellation software does exactly that. They've quietly been the Warren Buffet of SaaS business for like 20+ years now.




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