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> China's unwavering decision to be friends with Russia with "no limit" is slow changing into "directly giving military aids". US and EU is threatening sanctions on China for this, something that most on this board would consider impossible a year ago.

This is pretty contradictory. If you're friend with no limit, military aid should be clearly on the table. There are in fact hard limits.

China is extremely hesitant to send military aid and have been his entire time. I don't think they will send anything noteworthy personally, but it's more than plausible I'm wrong here.

I'm vaguely optimistic that a Ukranian move to get Crimea within fire control will in fact make the war come to a relatively fast end. Ukraine simply needs to recreate the conditions that led to Russia's flight from Kherson in Crimea. Such a loss will be far more devastating. At that point something needs to give. Fingers crossed for the spring.



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