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Heh. Silly American thoughts.

This site[0] says Global birthrate is around 17.3. However, it has been dropping ~1% a year. It was 19.3 in 2014 and today it is 17.3. So indeed growing more slowly, but a strong trendline downwards.

Table copied and limited to the decades:

    Year  Birth Rate  Growth Rate
    2024  17.299  -0.940%
    2020  18.077  -1.120%
    2010  19.991  -0.870%
    2000  21.733  -1.090%
    1990  26.094  -2.400%
    1980  28.192  -0.530%
    1970  32.995  -1.520%
    1960  35.346  -0.110%
    1950  37.844  0.000%
[0] https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/WLD/wor...


You started with fertility rate and switched to birth rate. The world fertility rate is 2.4 so just a bit above the maintenance 2.1 level.

But in pretty much all developed countries the fertility rate is well below replacement rates and no signs of it levelling off.

In developed countries, more and more the norm is to not have children, or fewer of them later and later in live.

Personally I don't think it's a good thing when we start closing schools cause there's not enough children to attend them but that's just me.




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