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> Why? If you apply game theory, one of the three will try to defect and undercut the other two.

Because they're playing a repeating game. AbbVie and Merck are big pharma companies. They don't particularly want to get into a price war.

It would be different if a small biotech firm were coming in. They might not get a second shot at it for a long time, so they are much more likely to undercut on price.

Also, three is a low number. Defection is more likely when the number of players goes up.

Of course, they're not going to come in dollar-for-dollar identical to the pricing of Sovaldi and Harvoni. However, the insurance companies seem to be hoping for some really sharp drops in price, which are less likely.



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